Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.824772e-05 2.229779e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052
2025-08-17 1.220240e-05 1.692508e-05 0.000023 0.000030 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060
2025-08-24 8.618542e-06 1.346938e-05 0.000020 0.000028 0.000039 0.000051 0.000067
2025-08-31 6.595449e-06 1.150541e-05 0.000018 0.000028 0.000040 0.000056 0.000076
2025-09-07 4.911600e-06 9.621309e-06 0.000017 0.000027 0.000041 0.000059 0.000083
2025-09-14 3.500115e-06 7.805284e-06 0.000015 0.000025 0.000040 0.000060 0.000088
2025-09-21 2.535646e-06 6.466800e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093
2025-09-28 1.782024e-06 5.284501e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000063 0.000097
2025-10-05 1.395215e-06 4.709655e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000041 0.000067 0.000105
2025-10-12 1.079201e-06 4.184022e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000042 0.000071 0.000112
2025-10-19 7.848204e-07 3.593091e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000073 0.000118
2025-10-26 7.241180e-07 3.612575e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000046 0.000080 0.000130
2025-11-02 4.741084e-07 3.031713e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000048 0.000085 0.000141
2025-11-09 2.292175e-07 2.210308e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000046 0.000085 0.000146
2025-11-16 1.035903e-07 1.645143e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000046 0.000087 0.000152
2025-11-23 5.105294e-08 1.340981e-06 0.000007 0.000020 0.000047 0.000091 0.000162
2025-11-30 1.789369e-08 1.022090e-06 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000093 0.000169
2025-12-07 3.021101e-09 7.158763e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000046 0.000094 0.000174
2025-12-14 1.317404e-10 5.090309e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000096 0.000181
2025-12-21 NaN 3.419712e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000045 0.000097 0.000186
2025-12-28 NaN 2.716218e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000101 0.000196
2026-01-04 NaN 2.108000e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000048 0.000106 0.000207
2026-01-11 NaN 1.478021e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000048 0.000108 0.000215